Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +23%
1.46/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.15
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.3 Crosses 18.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
378 Passes 328
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
29.06.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.05.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-4 HT 1-3 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
25.09.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
02.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
31.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
3-2
AWAY Busan I Park
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
388 Passes 237
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings edged past Busan I Park 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 60% of the ball to Busan I Park's 40%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 1.00 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 43%, draw 24%, Busan I Park 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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