Busan I Park 1-0 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.17/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.44
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 0.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 396
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.05.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-4 HT 1-3 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
25.09.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
02.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
31.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
18.10.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-0
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
446 Passes 272
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park squeezed past Suwon Bluewings 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busan I Park had 62% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 38%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Busan I Park and 1.00 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?

Busan I Park 1-0 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 35%, draw 22%, Suwon Bluewings 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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