Suwon Bluewings 1-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 33% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-14.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
22%
+13.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +35%
1.83/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.92
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
24.3 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
427 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-4 HT 1-3 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
25.09.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
02.06.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
31.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
18.10.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
29.08.2020 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1-1
AWAY Busan I Park
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
362 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings and Busan I Park shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 51% of the ball to Busan I Park's 49%, shots finished 17-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.83 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Suwon Bluewings 1-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 40%, draw 24%, Busan I Park 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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