Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.76/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.74
-22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 12.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
205 Passes 401
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-1
AWAY Incheon United
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
244 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen and Incheon United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 45% of the ball to Incheon United's 55%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Incheon United?

Gimpo Citizen 1-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 27%, draw 29%, Incheon United 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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