Hoek 4-0 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-2.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.8pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoek EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.95
-40% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoek
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hoek Hoek HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoek
4-0
AWAY Jong Almere City
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoek vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoek swept aside Jong Almere City 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoek as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Hoek had 48% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 52%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Hoek vs Jong Almere City?

Hoek 4-0 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoek vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoek win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hoek 58%, draw 20%, Jong Almere City 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoek), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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