Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 Kozakken Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.81
-18% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +84%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Kozakken Boys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
158 Passes 308
56% Pass Accuracy 73%
3 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 1-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
17.02.2024 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
16.09.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 HT 0-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
17.03.2018 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-2
AWAY Kozakken Boys
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Kozakken Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozakken Boys nicked a narrow win over Excelsior Maassluis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Excelsior Maassluis at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 42% of the ball to Kozakken Boys's 58%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kozakken Boys led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.00 for Kozakken Boys.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Kozakken Boys?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 Kozakken Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Kozakken Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 41%, draw 31%, Kozakken Boys 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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