Kozakken Boys 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.68
No
35%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.0pp
35%
BTTS No
44%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 32%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.13/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.51
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozakken Boys
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 158
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
11 Box Touches 3
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
16.09.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 HT 0-0 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys HOLTW
17.03.2018 Kozakken Boys Kozakken Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozakken Boys
1-1
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozakken Boys and Excelsior Maassluis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kozakken Boys at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Kozakken Boys had 61% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 39%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kozakken Boys had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kozakken Boys and 0.33 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Kozakken Boys 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozakken Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kozakken Boys 47%, draw 25%, Excelsior Maassluis 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kozakken Boys), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kozakken Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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