BVV Barendrecht 3-2 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.10/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.65
+26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +134%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-0 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
19.10.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 5-3 HT 4-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
3-2
AWAY Jong Sparta
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht edged past Jong Sparta 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BVV Barendrecht as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 42% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 58%, shots finished 20-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 2.50 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta?

BVV Barendrecht 3-2 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 45%, draw 24%, Jong Sparta 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BVV Barendrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
22 Nov 2025
16:30 ACV vs Katwijk Analysis →
16:30 Rijnsburgse Boys vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →
17:00 Kozakken Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis Analysis →
17:00 Quick Boys vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
17:00 Ijsselmeervogels vs GVVV Analysis →
17:15 AFC Amsterdamsche vs RKAV Volendam Analysis →