Jong Sparta 2-0 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.6pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.42/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 5-3 HT 4-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
2-0
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta beat BVV Barendrecht 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was BVV Barendrecht at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 44% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 56%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs BVV Barendrecht?

Jong Sparta 2-0 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 36%, draw 22%, BVV Barendrecht 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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