GVVV 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+11.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.81/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.79
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 2.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
384 Passes 255
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
16.03.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 HT 0-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
26.01.2019 GVVV GVVV 0-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
1-0
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GVVV vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV squeezed past Excelsior Maassluis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had GVVV as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GVVV had 59% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 41%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Excelsior Maassluis led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for GVVV and 1.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of GVVV vs Excelsior Maassluis?

GVVV 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split GVVV 43%, draw 24%, Excelsior Maassluis 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GVVV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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