Noordwijk 3-3 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.44/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.91
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Katwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.07 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
207 Passes 285
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 3-2 HT 1-1 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
27.01.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
02.11.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 3-2 HT 2-2 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
3-3
AWAY Katwijk
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk and Katwijk couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Noordwijk had 55% of the ball to Katwijk's 45%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Noordwijk and 2.33 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Katwijk?

Noordwijk 3-3 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 28%, draw 23%, Katwijk 49%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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