Katwijk 3-2 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 20%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.87/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/2.27
-13% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Noordwijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 2.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
285 Passes 207
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
02.11.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 3-2 HT 2-2 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
3-2
AWAY Noordwijk
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk nicked a narrow win over Noordwijk 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Katwijk had 54% of the ball to Noordwijk's 46%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Katwijk and 1.00 for Noordwijk.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Noordwijk?

Katwijk 3-2 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 52%, draw 22%, Noordwijk 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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