ACV 3-3 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 22 Nov 2025

ACV
3-3 HT 2-2
Katwijk
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.10/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.12
-18% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.12.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 2-2 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
18.05.2024 ACV 3-1 HT 2-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
09.12.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
3-3
AWAY Katwijk
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACV vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV and Katwijk shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, ACV had 41% of the ball to Katwijk's 59%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ACV and 1.67 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of ACV vs Katwijk?

ACV 3-3 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ACV 29%, draw 20%, Katwijk 51%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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