SV Spakenburg 3-2 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.2pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.7pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.29/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.78
+56% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 HT 0-2 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
12.04.2025 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1 HT 2-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
09.11.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
09.03.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 4-3 HT 1-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
3-2
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg nicked a narrow win over Rijnsburgse Boys 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rijnsburgse Boys at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 45% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 55%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rijnsburgse Boys led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for SV Spakenburg and 2.75 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

SV Spakenburg 3-2 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 37%, draw 19%, Rijnsburgse Boys 44%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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