Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
Floriana v Hamrun Spartans — Team-Based Signals
Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Floriana 1-4 Hamrun Spartans — Actual Match Statistics
Hamrun Spartans dismantled Floriana 4-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (59%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Floriana had 51% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 49%, shots finished 2-20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Floriana and 1.33 for Hamrun Spartans.
Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans Result & Final Score
Floriana 1 - 4 Hamrun Spartans in the MALTP on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Floriana 10%, draw 19%, Hamrun Spartans 71%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.