Floriana 1-3 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.36/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.01
+35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
252 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
25.01.2025 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MALTP
08.12.2024 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
24.08.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
06.01.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
04.02.2023 Floriana Floriana 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
1-3
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans got the better of Floriana 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Floriana had 61% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 39%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Floriana and 0.83 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans?

Floriana 1-3 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Floriana 25%, draw 31%, Hamrun Spartans 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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