Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
1.61/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
02.10.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-3 HT 1-2 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-0
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC edged past Zabbar St. Patrick 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 50% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 50%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 1.00 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 47%, draw 28%, Zabbar St. Patrick 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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