Mosta 3-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.02/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.50
+7% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2025 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
23.08.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 2-1 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
20.01.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
3-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta swept aside Naxxar Lions 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Mosta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mosta had 49% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 51%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mosta and 0.67 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Naxxar Lions?

Mosta 3-0 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mosta 37%, draw 30%, Naxxar Lions 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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