Adana Demirspor 1-3 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
16.01
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
74%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
50%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
4%
+5.2pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.4pp
74%
Away Win
86%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 91%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.58/3.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.25
+25% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
6.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
6.7 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 5-0 HT 3-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
26.02.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
27.08.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
23.02.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
21.10.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-2 HT 2-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
12.07.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-3 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
1-3
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.85 xG 2.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
228 Passes 352
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor saw off Adana Demirspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 41% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 59%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.85 to 2.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.67 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Adana Demirspor 1-3 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 9%, draw 17%, Ümraniyespor 74%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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