Serik Spor 4-2 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.75/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.62
+77% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
26.0 Crosses 9.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Spor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 0.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
357 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2025 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Serik Spor Serik Spor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Spor
4-2
AWAY Hatayspor
2.24 xG 3.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
347 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Serik Spor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Spor beat Hatayspor 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Serik Spor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Serik Spor had 57% of the ball to Hatayspor's 43%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.24 to 3.41 — on chances, Hatayspor could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Serik Spor vs Hatayspor?

Serik Spor 4-2 Hatayspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Spor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Serik Spor 60%, draw 25%, Hatayspor 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Spor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Serik Spor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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