Hatayspor 1-1 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 69%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
8.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.6 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Serik Spor
0.66 xG 1.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
243 Passes 357
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Serik Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Serik Spor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 43% of the ball to Serik Spor's 57%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.66 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Serik Spor?

Hatayspor 1-1 Serik Spor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Serik Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 25%, draw 23%, Serik Spor 52%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Serik Spor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
21 Dec 2025
16:00 Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor Analysis →
16:00 Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →
19:00 İstanbulspor vs Van Spor FK Analysis →