Çorum FK 2-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.19
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.73
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.45
X/1
23%
3.97
X/2
5%
14.1
X/X
12%
6.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.5
2/2
6%
11.6
2/X
6%
20.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.2pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -2%
1.45/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.05
-29% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
31.5 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.44 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
31.08.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
18.02.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
23.09.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
19.09.2021 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
2-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
3.08 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
420 Passes 271
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK got the better of Sakaryaspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 60% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 40%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.08 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Çorum FK and 1.20 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Çorum FK 2-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 61%, draw 24%, Sakaryaspor 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
21 Dec 2025
13:30 Hatayspor vs Serik Spor Analysis →
16:00 Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →
19:00 İstanbulspor vs Van Spor FK Analysis →