İstanbulspor 1-3 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2025

İstanbulspor
1-3 HT 1-1
Van Spor FK
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

İstanbulspor vs Van Spor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.13
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.96
X/2
12%
6.61
X/X
7%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.86
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Van Spor FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.60/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.57
+35% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
17.6 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7

İstanbulspor 1-3 Van Spor FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-3
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.00 xG 2.53
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
341 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK got the better of İstanbulspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was İstanbulspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 52% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.00 to 2.53.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Van Spor FK?

İstanbulspor 1-3 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 46%, draw 22%, Van Spor FK 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İstanbulspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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