Ümraniyespor 5-0 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Dec 2025

Ümraniyespor
5-0 HT 3-0
Adana Demirspor
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.9
No
40%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
82%
-9.0pp
15%
Draw
10%
+5.0pp
11%
Away Win
7%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.8pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ümraniyespor v Adana Demirspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.06/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.71
-2% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.1
19.4 Crosses 6.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.63 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
27.08.2022 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
23.02.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
21.10.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-2 HT 2-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
12.07.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-3 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
20.12.2019 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-2 HT 3-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Ümraniyespor 5-0 Adana Demirspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
5-0
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.90 xG 0.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
464 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 4
11 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor swept aside Adana Demirspor 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ümraniyespor as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 58% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 42%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.90 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ümraniyespor and 2.17 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor?

Ümraniyespor 5-0 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 74%, draw 15%, Adana Demirspor 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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