Sakaryaspor 2-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
13%
6.64
X/X
10%
4.37
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.95
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 1/X at 13.15 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.45/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.30
+2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.2 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.55 xG 2.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
274 Passes 390
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
18.02.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
23.09.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
19.09.2021 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-1
AWAY Çorum FK
1.55 xG 0.91
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
221 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor squeezed past Çorum FK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Sakaryaspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 40% of the ball to Çorum FK's 60%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.55 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.75 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Sakaryaspor 2-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 40%, draw 26%, Çorum FK 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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