Kocaelispor 1-0 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.83
6+ Goals
6%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.25
X/1
11%
4.02
X/2
5%
8.89
X/X
22%
4.17
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
9%
7.91
2/X
9%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.3pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.21
-7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +78%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.6 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amed SK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.10 xG 2.35
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
189 Passes 626
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
1 Box Touches 25
6 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 3-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
1-0
AWAY Amed SK
0.68 xG 0.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
312 Passes 391
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor squeezed past Amed SK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 46% of the ball to Amed SK's 54%, shots finished 9-2, expected goals 0.68 to 0.02.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Amed SK?

Kocaelispor 1-0 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 45%, draw 36%, Amed SK 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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