Adanaspor vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adanaspor v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals
Adanaspor vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Adanaspor
T1L
3-2
HT 2-1
Adanaspor
T1L
2-0
HT 0-0
Manisa FK
T1L
0-3
HT 0-2
Adanaspor
T1L
Adanaspor 2-1 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics
Adanaspor nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Adanaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Adanaspor had 42% of the ball to Manisa FK's 58%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.86 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Adanaspor's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adanaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Adanaspor and 0.83 for Manisa FK.
What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Manisa FK?
Adanaspor 2-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Manisa FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 39%, draw 29%, Manisa FK 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adanaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.