Rukh Vynnyky 0-3 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.0pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 59%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.85/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.98
-13% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
19.04.2025 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 3-1 HT 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
29.10.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-0 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKRK
21.10.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rukh Vynnyky
0-3
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv swept aside Rukh Vynnyky 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rukh Vynnyky had 54% of the ball to Karpaty Lviv's 46%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Karpaty Lviv led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rukh Vynnyky and 1.00 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Lviv?

Rukh Vynnyky 0-3 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rukh Vynnyky 24%, draw 28%, Karpaty Lviv 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →