Fremad Amager 0-1 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.85/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.40
+23% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Thisted
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
06.04.2024 Thisted Thisted 3-3 HT 0-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
20.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
0-1
AWAY Thisted
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted squeezed past Fremad Amager 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fremad Amager at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 55% of the ball to Thisted's 45%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.67 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Thisted?

Fremad Amager 0-1 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 44%, draw 28%, Thisted 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fremad Amager) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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