Emmen 0-3 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.92
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
8%
6.26
X/2
12%
5.45
X/X
13%
5.19
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.22
2/X
10%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.61/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.9 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
303 Passes 377
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.01.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 2-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
22.09.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
03.06.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
31.05.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
22.01.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 2-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-3
AWAY NAC Breda
0.63 xG 0.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emmen vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda cruised past Emmen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; NAC Breda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Emmen had 49% of the ball to NAC Breda's 51%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.63 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Emmen and 1.00 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Emmen vs NAC Breda?

Emmen 0-3 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Emmen 37%, draw 29%, NAC Breda 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Emmen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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