Excelsior 7-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.76
6+ Goals
15%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
13%
4.88
X/2
9%
7.64
X/X
13%
5.62
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
14%
4.86
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +18%
1.93/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.16
+26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
25.1 Crosses 18.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
365 Passes 353
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
29.05.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 4-4 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
24.05.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
25.01.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 2-3 HT 1-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
22.10.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-2 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
25.04.2019 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-1 HT 2-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
7-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
3.76 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
381 Passes 277
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior cruised past ADO Den Haag 7-1. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Excelsior had 55% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 45%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 3.76 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Excelsior and 2.00 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?

Excelsior 7-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 41%, draw 27%, ADO Den Haag 32%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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