Jarfalla 1-1 Falu BS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Falu BS EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.06/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.64
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarfalla
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Falu BS
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.08.2024 Falu BS 1-0 HT 0-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
06.04.2024 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-2 Falu BS İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Falu BS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla and Falu BS shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Jarfalla at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Falu BS led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jarfalla and 1.50 for Falu BS.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Falu BS?

Jarfalla 1-1 Falu BS in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Falu BS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 47%, draw 24%, Falu BS 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jarfalla), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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