Canberra FC 5-0 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.0pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
3.54/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.56
+34% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
16.06.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
29.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
05.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 7-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
15.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-6 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
13.06.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC cruised past Tuggeranong United 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Canberra FC and 0.50 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United?

Canberra FC 5-0 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 63%, draw 21%, Tuggeranong United 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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