El Geish 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+2.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.02/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.16
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.7 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
226 Passes 282
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2024 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-3 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
26.04.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
14.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 HT 1-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
28.05.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
19.11.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
09.05.2021 El Geish El Geish 3-1 HT 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-1
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.78 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
257 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish and Ghazl El Mehalla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, El Geish had 43% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 57%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Geish and 1.00 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

El Geish 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split El Geish 35%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Geish), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Geish) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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