Ismaily 3-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +14%
1.01/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.8 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
2W-2D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
22.07.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
26.02.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
28.07.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 0-3 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
23.02.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
05.05.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 3-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
3-0
AWAY El Gounah
0.39 xG 0.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
100 Passes 125
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
3 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ismaily cruised past El Gounah 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Ismaily made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Ismaily had 45% of the ball to El Gounah's 55%, shots finished 5-3, expected goals 0.39 to 0.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ismaily and 1.00 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs El Gounah?

Ismaily 3-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 32%, draw 32%, El Gounah 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (El Gounah), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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