Egersunds 0-2 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.04
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 24% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.75/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.56
+8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
230 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sogndal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.08.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 0-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
09.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-2 HT 0-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal saw off Egersunds 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sogndal found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Egersunds and 2.00 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Sogndal?

Egersunds 0-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 39%, draw 24%, Sogndal 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Egersunds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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