North Carolina II 1-1 Tobacco Road — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 25 May 2025

North Carolina II
1-1 HT 0-0
Tobacco Road
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2025

North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.9pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Carolina II v Tobacco Road — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 31%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.98/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.59
+52% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Tobacco Road
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
The Meetings
04.07.2024 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
25.05.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 0-4 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2023 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-3 HT 1-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
18.06.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 3-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2022 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-4 HT 0-1 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
POST-MATCH North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina II and Tobacco Road couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was North Carolina II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for North Carolina II and 1.60 for Tobacco Road.

What was the final score of North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road?

North Carolina II 1-1 Tobacco Road in the USA - USL League 2 on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina II vs Tobacco Road?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split North Carolina II 47%, draw 23%, Tobacco Road 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North Carolina II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Carolina II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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