Cherno More Varna 2-3 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.02
Away
27%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.55
Over
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.08
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cherno More Varna The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali The Market 32%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
Great Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
04.03.2026 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
12.12.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-3 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
22.09.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
18.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
04.05.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
2 - 3
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arda Kardzhali squeezed past Cherno More Varna 3-2 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The model refused to pick a side here (40% / 33% / 27%); Arda Kardzhali picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Cherno More Varna had 56% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 44%, shots finished 14-7.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.67 for Arda Kardzhali.

Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali Result & Final Score

Cherno More Varna 2 - 3 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 40%, draw 33%, Arda Kardzhali 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
25 May 2026
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