Arda Kardzhali 0-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.52
Over
37%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.07
No
54%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arda Kardzhali The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna The Market 36%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Great Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
04.05.2025 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
02.04.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 4-0 HT 3-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.09.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
07.11.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
15.07.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-3 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0 - 1
AWAY Cherno More Varna
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cherno More Varna shaded a tight game against Arda Kardzhali 1-0 on their travels.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Cherno More Varna found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (63%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Arda Kardzhali's favour, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Arda Kardzhali against 1.00 for Cherno More Varna.

Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Result & Final Score

Arda Kardzhali 0 - 1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 37%, draw 33%, Cherno More Varna 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
22 Sep 2025
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