KPV Kokkola 2-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.65
2-3 Goals
46%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KPV Kokkola EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.10/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.54
+128% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KPV Kokkola
1W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
06.10.2019 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-4 HT 1-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN
04.08.2019 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN
11.05.2019 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
31.07.2011 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN2
15.05.2011 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 KPV Kokkola KPV Kokkola FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KPV Kokkola
2-1
AWAY FC Lahti
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KPV Kokkola vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KPV Kokkola edged past FC Lahti 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Lahti at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KPV Kokkola had 47% of the ball to FC Lahti's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for KPV Kokkola and 1.00 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of KPV Kokkola vs FC Lahti?

KPV Kokkola 2-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KPV Kokkola vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KPV Kokkola 26%, draw 24%, FC Lahti 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Lahti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİK More Finland - Suomen Cup
25 Jun 2024
18:00 Haka vs PK-35 ry Analysis →
18:30 Inter Turku vs GrIFK Analysis →
18:30 PEPO vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
19:00 SJK Seinajoki vs VPS Analysis →
19:00 VJS vs Oulu Analysis →