SJK Seinajoki 5-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 29%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.33/2.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/0.16
-31% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
27.01.2024 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
21.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
09.08.2023 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
08.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-1 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
04.02.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
5-1
AWAY VPS
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki swept aside VPS 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 60% of the ball to VPS's 40%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.83 for VPS.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

SJK Seinajoki 5-1 VPS in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 45%, draw 25%, VPS 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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