PEPO 1-5 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
67%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
48%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
4%
+12.9pp
16%
Draw
8%
+8.0pp
67%
Away Win
88%
-21.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEPO EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 94%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.00/3.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.27
-100% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 550 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEPO
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 6
15.03.2015 PEPO PEPO 0-6 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEPO
1-5
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH PEPO vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio ran out comfortable winners over PEPO 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PEPO had 31% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 69%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of PEPO vs KuPS Kuopio?

PEPO 1-5 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEPO vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split PEPO 17%, draw 16%, KuPS Kuopio 67%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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