Al Ahly 2-0 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 30% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.53/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.09
+20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.0 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Zamalek
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
363 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
08.03.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRK
13.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 3-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.01.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
28.10.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
21.07.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-2 HT 0-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSRK
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly got the better of Zamalek 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahly and 0.83 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Zamalek?

Al Ahly 2-0 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 46%, draw 23%, Zamalek 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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