Tobol 2-1 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 25 Jun 2025

Tobol
2-1 HT 1-1
Zhenys
📅25/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Zhenys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.03.2025 Zhenys 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.10.2024 Zhenys 2-1 HT 2-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
27.04.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past Zhenys 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zhenys led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tobol and 1.00 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Zhenys?

Tobol 2-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tobol 50%, draw 28%, Zhenys 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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