Union La Calera 3-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 25 Jun 2026

📅25/06/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.32/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.75
+4% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
9.0 Crosses 25.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2026 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
10.05.2026 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-0 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİLK
25.03.2026 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-1 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİLİLK
29.07.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-4 HT 0-3 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
24.02.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
06.10.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
3-3
AWAY Universidad Chile
10 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera and Universidad Chile couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union La Calera and 1.33 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

Union La Calera 3-3 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Cup on 25/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 26%, draw 25%, Universidad Chile 49%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universidad Chile) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ BTTS Yes
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