Union La Calera 0-4 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.31
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.3 Crosses 21.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
253 Passes 307
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
06.10.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-0 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
14.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-3 HT 1-1 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
26.08.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
03.03.2023 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 1-1 HT 1-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
03.07.2022 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
0-4
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.12 xG 2.95
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
204 Passes 565
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile cruised past Union La Calera 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Universidad Chile found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union La Calera had 30% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 70%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.12 to 2.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union La Calera and 1.50 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

Union La Calera 0-4 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 34%, draw 27%, Universidad Chile 39%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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