Fransa U19 1-0 Ukrayna U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.0pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U19 EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.10/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/2.11
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa U19
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ukrayna U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
511 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2018 Fransa U19 Fransa U19 1-2 HT 1-1 Ukrayna U19 Ukrayna U19 U19
09.07.2015 Ukrayna U19 Ukrayna U19 1-3 HT 0-1 Fransa U19 Fransa U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U19
1-0
AWAY Ukrayna U19
0.44 xG 0.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
458 Passes 230
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fransa U19 vs Ukrayna U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U19 nicked a narrow win over Ukrayna U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fransa U19 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Fransa U19 had 64% of the ball to Ukrayna U19's 36%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.44 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fransa U19 and 1.50 for Ukrayna U19.

What was the final score of Fransa U19 vs Ukrayna U19?

Fransa U19 1-0 Ukrayna U19 in the European U19 on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U19 vs Ukrayna U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fransa U19 51%, draw 30%, Ukrayna U19 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U19), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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