Norveç U19 1-1 Türkiye U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.8pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
4.02/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.51
+147% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç U19
1-1
AWAY Türkiye U19
0.62 xG 0.74
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
241 Passes 518
60% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norveç U19 vs Türkiye U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norveç U19 and Türkiye U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Norveç U19 had 38% of the ball to Türkiye U19's 62%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.62 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Norveç U19 vs Türkiye U19?

Norveç U19 1-1 Türkiye U19 in the European U19 on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç U19 vs Türkiye U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Türkiye U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Norveç U19 32%, draw 30%, Türkiye U19 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Türkiye U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Türkiye U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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