Fylkir 3-3 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
29%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
66%
-17.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
15%
+13.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.29/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/2.32
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
383 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fjölnir
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
13.01.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 5-0 HT 2-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLRT
10.03.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 0-2 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
26.07.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
19.05.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 5-2 HT 3-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
21.02.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-4 HT 0-3 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir and Fjölnir couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fylkir at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Fylkir and 1.00 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs Fjölnir?

Fylkir 3-3 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 48%, draw 23%, Fjölnir 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fylkir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fylkir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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