Keflavik 2-2 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2025

Keflavik
2-2 HT 1-1
Thor Akureyri
📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keflavik v Thor Akureyri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.28/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.08
-32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-4 HT 1-4 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
31.07.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
25.05.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
12.02.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-1 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
07.09.2020 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
21.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik and Thor Akureyri couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Keflavik and 1.83 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Keflavik 2-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 44%, draw 19%, Thor Akureyri 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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